Sunday, January 04, 2015

Top Films of 2014

Back in January of 2014 I took a look at what I thought would be the top genre films of 2014. Was I right, was I wrong? take a look below and see how far off I was. (all amounts are in Millions of dollars)

#1 Guardians of the Galaxy $332 I think everyone underestimated this film, I predicted it to fall in the $175 - $190 range and be #13. It nearly doubled that and shook the late summer box-office.

#2 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 $313 This film did less money than I expected, but only dropped it one spot from where I expected it to be. I was estimating a little over $400. As I said in my 2015 predictions, I think the influx of teen books adapted to the big screen is hurting this markets. I think Mockingjay Part 2 will do just slightly less.

#3 Captain America: The Winter Soldier $259 I predicted $220 - $250 so I was close on this one, I just didn't expect it to be as high on the list as #3, I was predicting #5.

#4 The LEGO Movie $257 This movie came out of nowhere. I put at #14 on my list with a mere box-office total of $159, I was off by $100 and a hugely catchy tune.

#5 Transformers: Age of Extinction $245 Not far off on this one, I was calling for $253 and the #6 spot.

#6 Maleficent $241 Ops did Disney just discover the untapped female market? Not that Frozen didn't and not that men didn't go see this movie, but in a market full of big male dominated blockbusters this film broke the expectations of $100, as a matter of fact I had it doing only slightly better than Edge of Tomorrow (which I was off by $1). It was also off my chart at #17.

#7 X-Men: Days of Future Past $233 I thought this film would fare much better. I thought this would be the #2 film pulling in about $305.

#8 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes $208 I don't think I could have called this one any closer, I called it at $209 and #8.

 #9 Big Hero 6 $204 I am so glad I put this on my list last year, this was a film and property that no one had heard of. I called this little know gem to come in at #13 with only $179.

#10 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 $202 If this film had done the $262 I predicted it would have come in at the #3 spot I predicted, but somehow Sony messed up on this one. What did they do wrong? They lost the story and added too many villains, just like Spider-Man 3 (the emo Spidey).

#11 Godzilla $200 Another one I was near enough to being bang on. I called for the #11 spot at $199. I am surprised that we haven't heard Warner Bros. talking about a follow up film.

#12 The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies $198 Yes this film is still in the box-office, and yes it will easily break Godzilla's numbers, but this is just for what it did in 2014. My prediction called for about $20 more and a #7 spot.

#13 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles $191 I really didn't think this movie would do as well. I called for $72 and the #23 spot. This film made the biggest jump vs. my predictions.

#14 Interstellar $180 What a differance 10% can make, that's how much lower this film did from my prediction. Had it done the $199 I had seen, it still wouldn't have made the #9 spot.

So what about films that I predicted and didn't make the top 14? That would be How to Train Your Dragon 2 at #15, from my estimated #4 (biggest fall), and Divergent #16 from #11. The biggest over prediction I made was for February's Vampire Academy that scored a measly 10% of what I was hoping for. Biggest under predictions were Maleficent, at 135% more than what I called for and TMNT at 160% more.

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Thursday, January 01, 2015

Top 6 for 2016

This maybe a bit premature, but I wanted to take a look at the what is on the horizon for the film industry as I wait for the numbers to be tallied for 2014. I did my Top 15 for 2015 and will do Top 16 for 2016, when the time comes. This is just an advanced look at where the box-office is going.

1) Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice This film will set everything up for the new DC Comics Cinematic Universe; Justice League films, Suicide Squad (#7), Wonder Woman, ect. This film had the audience at Comic-Con 2013 going ballistic. Warner Bros.

2) Avatar 2 Filming started on this recently in New Zealand and like the Hobbit and Lord of the Rings movies, will continue for a while as they shoot parts 2, 3, and 4 back-to-back. James Cameron can do no wrong in the eyes of Hollywood, as his Titanic and Avatar sit number 1 & 2 on the all-time box-office list. Fox

3) Captain America: Civil War Marvel's first film of 2016, (Doctor Strange #9 in November) could see Spider-Man return to Marvel Studio's control, as a share deal is being worked out with Sony. Disney/Marvel

4) Star Wars: Standalone While the making of Star Wars 7-9 has been on everyone's radar for awhile, the news that most people are missing is that between these bi-annual films are a series of Standalone or Solo films. What characters they'll be about hasn't been revealed, but most think they'll be Yoda, Han Solo, and Boba Fett. Disney/Lucas

5) Finding Dory The Pixar movie that everyone have been waiting for. Back under the sea with Nemo, Marlin and the fish that speaks whale, Dory. I think this film will do as much as both of Pixar's 2015 films. Disney/Pixar

6) X-Men: Apocalypse 20th Century Fox returns with the next installment of the X-Men franchise. Weather or not the February Deadpool (#15) movie will lead into this film or not is uncertain, but I'm sure the end-credit sequence will tease something with Apocalypse. Fox

Do you think I'm right, wrong or somewhere in between? Comment below what you think the top films of 2016 might be.